RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 11:38 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 20.6 clip, RJ Barrett's points per game have increased this season to 24.5.
RJ Barrett has converted a terrific 3.3 3-pointers per game this season, a significant increase from his 1.8 rate last season.
RJ Barrett has averaged an impressive 31.8 minutes per game this season, significantly higher than his 34.3 minutes per game last season.
RJ Barrett has been called for a lowly 1.0 personal fouls per game this season, significantly lower than his 2.8 fouls per game last season.
The New York Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to shooting, the New York Knicks's unimpressive 110.1 points per game settles in as the 7th-fewest in the league this year.
The matchup against Miami is a tough one for shots from the field; when the Heat are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 11th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (41.0%).
The least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the New York Knicks.
The New York Knicks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the most lethargic tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).

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