RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has successfully made an impressive 2.6 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly more than his 1.7 mark last season.
RJ Barrett has been called for just 1.0 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 2.4 fouls per game last season.
This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have notched 18.0 points per game (24th-highest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive output.
The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Knicks have been the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The least up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA this year has been the New York Knicks.
This year, opposing teams have come down with 12.0 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (lengthening possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense).
RJ Barrett has missed 1.0 foul shot attempts per game this season, quite a bit more than his 1.5 mark last season.
This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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