RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 11:12 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Knicks are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest tempo road team in the league this year (the Hawks).
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out 14thbest in in the league while on their home court with 14.2 offensive boards per game this year.
When playing on the road, the Atlanta Hawks have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Knicks check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league at home this year.
The matchup vs. the Atlanta Hawks is a positive one; they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the league to opposing squads this year (119.3).
The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year.
Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have attempted 25.4 foul shots per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Hawks, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

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