RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs LA Clippers · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 12:33 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, RJ Barrett lands in the 87th percentile for field goal attempts when playing on the road, posting 16.5 per game since the start of last season.
Among all players in the league, RJ Barrett rates in the 83rd percentile for three-point attempts while on his home court, posting 5.5 per game since the start of last season.
RJ Barrett has played 33.3 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 89th percentile.
The Knicks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-quickest tempo team in the NBA this year (the LA Clippers).
The Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have averaged 27.0% on 3-pointers (15th-lowest in the league) against the Clippers, creating a challenging matchup.
The 6th-most lethargic tempo away team in the NBA this year has been the Knicks.
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (14th-fewest in the league) against the Clippers, struggling to draw fouls.

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