RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 5/10/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · May 10, 2023

Updated May 10, 2023 10:51 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has made 51.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 6.8% more than he's converted overall this year when playing at home.
RJ Barrett has sunk 2.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
RJ Barrett has played 33.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 90th percentile.
The matchup against Miami is a positive one; when the Heat are away from home, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs this year (17.0).
The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Knicks.

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