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RJ Barrett

RJ Barrett Points
Player Prop - 5/8/2023

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

 
 
 
RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • RJ Barrett has attempted 16.0 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • RJ Barrett has attempted 5.3 threes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • RJ Barrett has played 32.5 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
  • The matchup against Miami is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 30th-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4).
  • The New York Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Knicks have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
  • The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Knicks.
  • RJ Barrett will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually decreases stat production across the board.

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