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RJ Barrett

RJ Barrett Points
Player Prop - 5/6/2023

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

 
 
 
RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • RJ Barrett has scored 23.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 more than he's scored overall this season.
  • RJ Barrett has made 53.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 10.5% more than he's converted in all games this year.
  • RJ Barrett has been on the court for 32.7 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
  • The matchup vs. Miami is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4).
  • The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Knicks have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The New York Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road.
  • The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Knicks.
  • RJ Barrett will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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