RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 4/26/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks · Apr 26, 2023

Updated Apr 26, 2023 10:41 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has attempted 16.0 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league.
RJ Barrett has attempted 5.3 shots from downtown per game this year, placing him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA.
RJ Barrett has tallied 32.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The New York Knicks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a hard one for three-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 14th-least shots from downtown per game in the league this year (1.6).
The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing away from home.
The Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Knicks.
RJ Barrett will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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