RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 21, 2023

Updated Apr 21, 2023 8:17 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+110/-140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has attempted 16.0 shots per game this year, placing him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
RJ Barrett has attempted 5.3 shots from downtown per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
RJ Barrett has played 33.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 91st percentile.
The New York Knicks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Cavaliers have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against Cleveland is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the Cavaliers are on the road, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 14th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (1.5).
The New York Knicks have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA when playing at home this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Knicks.

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