RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 4/18/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks · Apr 18, 2023

Updated Apr 18, 2023 11:46 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has attempted 16.1 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA.
RJ Barrett has tallied 32.7 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have given up the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
RJ Barrett has made 83.3% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 8.0% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year away from home.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a challenging one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 13th-least 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.6).
The New York Knicks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games while on the road.
The Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Knicks.
RJ Barrett will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces player production across the board.

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