RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks · Mar 23, 2023

Updated Mar 23, 2023 9:36 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has successfully made 8.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 more than he's put through the net in all games this season when playing away from home.
RJ Barrett has played 32.9 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The matchup against Orlando is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Magic are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6).
The Magic have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Knicks.
The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road.
RJ Barrett will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player production for all stats.

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