RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 20, 2023

Updated Mar 20, 2023 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has attempted 20.2 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 3.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
RJ Barrett has attempted 5.8 3-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the league.
RJ Barrett has averaged 39.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 5.0 more than he's averaged overall this year at home.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a favorable one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SFs have tallied the 26th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.5).
The Timberwolves have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should raise possessions for the Knicks.

Favors Under

The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games on their home court.
The New York Knicks have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (10th-least in the NBA).

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