RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 3/18/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 18, 2023

Updated Mar 18, 2023 12:51 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+100/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has attempted 20.2 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 3.1 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
RJ Barrett has attempted 5.8 treys per game this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the league.
RJ Barrett has been on the court for 39.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 5.0 more than he's been on the court for overall this season at home.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Knicks.
The New York Knicks check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing at home.
The matchup against Denver is a difficult one for attempts from beyond the arc; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.0).
The New York Knicks have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Denver may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Nuggets are away from home (8th-least in the league).

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