RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs New York Knicks · Mar 12, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 10:22 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has attempted 20.2 shots per game over the last 15 games, 3.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
RJ Barrett has attempted 5.8 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
RJ Barrett has played 33.4 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The matchup against the Lakers is a good one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 28th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (47.2%).
The Lakers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Knicks.

Favors Under

The New York Knicks have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
Playing at home, the Lakers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Lakers is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.8 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the NBA).
RJ Barrett will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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