RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

LA Clippers vs New York Knicks · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 11:04 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has attempted 20.2 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 3.1 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
RJ Barrett has attempted 5.8 shots from downtown per game this year, putting him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league.
RJ Barrett has averaged 33.4 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Clippers is a strong one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the 28th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (39.5%).
The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The New York Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA while on the road this year.
The Clippers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Knicks.
The Clippers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Los Angeles is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game this year when the Clippers are on their home court (10th-least in the NBA).