RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

Sacramento Kings vs New York Knicks · Mar 9, 2023

Updated Mar 10, 2023 2:28 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has attempted 20.2 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 3.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
RJ Barrett has attempted 5.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 87th percentile among all players in the league.
RJ Barrett has averaged 33.4 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The matchup vs. the Kings is a favorable one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled the 30th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (48.4%).
The Kings have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which ought to increase plays for the Knicks.

Favors Under

The New York Knicks have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league without the home court advantage this year.
The Kings have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
RJ Barrett will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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