RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has attempted 20.2 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 3.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
RJ Barrett has attempted 5.8 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
RJ Barrett has averaged 33.4 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.7).
The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league away from home this year.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Knicks.
RJ Barrett will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lowers player performance across the board.

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