RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks · Feb 24, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has attempted 20.2 shots per game over the last 15 games, 3.1 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
RJ Barrett has attempted 5.8 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA.
RJ Barrett has played 33.4 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Wizards have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Knicks.
The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Wizards is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (5.0).
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The matchup against the Wizards is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.4 foul shots per game this year (14th-least in the league).
RJ Barrett will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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