RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 31, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has attempted 20.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.6 more than he's attempted overall this season at home.
RJ Barrett has converted 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year.
RJ Barrett has attempted 5.4 free throws per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league.
RJ Barrett has averaged 34.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 93rd percentile.
The New York Knicks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (which can also provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Lakers have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The New York Knicks rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games playing at home.
The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The matchup against the Lakers is a hard one for scoring; the other team's starting SFs have shot for the 7th-lowest FG% in the NBA over the last 10 games (43.9%).

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