RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2022

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks · Dec 27, 2022

Updated Dec 27, 2022 6:57 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has attempted 19.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 more than he's attempted overall this season.
RJ Barrett has attempted 5.5 3-pointers per game this year on the road, putting him in the 87th percentile among all players in the league recently.
RJ Barrett has attempted 6.2 free throws per game this year on the road, placing him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA recently.
RJ Barrett has tallied 39.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The New York Knicks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which can also create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.
The New York Knicks have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league since the start of last season without the home court advantage.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a tough one for three-pointers; opposing starting SFs have tallied the 5th-least 3-point shots per game in the league this year (1.5).
The matchup vs. Tim Hardaway Jr. may be a challenging one for 3-point attempts; when guarding fellow starting SFs, they have attempted just 4.1 shots from downtown per game this year (93rd percentile).
RJ Barrett will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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