RJ Barrett Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2024

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Made 3 Point Shots

Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 26, 2024

Updated Dec 27, 2024 12:50 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 4.3 rate, RJ Barrett's shot attempts from downtown have spiked this season to 5.6 per game.
RJ Barrett has been on the court for 34.2 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The 4th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from being pitted against the fastest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).
The Raptors have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, RJ Barrett ranks in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game away from home this year.
The Raptors rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The matchup vs. Memphis is a hard one for three-point attempts; when the Grizzlies are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.7).
RJ Barrett will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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