RJ Barrett Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Made 3 Point Shots

New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has sunk 2.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year away from his home court.
RJ Barrett has played 30.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Raptors have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team has brought down 10.1 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks (turning over possessions that could otherwise result in additional chances for offense).

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year.
In terms of 3-pointers, the Raptors's lackluster 11.9 successful threes per game rates 7th-fewest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. New York is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the New York Knicks have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 10th-least shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (1.3).
The New York Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA on their home court this year, which should reduce possessions for the Toronto Raptors.
RJ Barrett will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player performance across the board.