RJ Barrett Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2025

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Washington Wizards · Mar 8, 2025

Updated Mar 9, 2025 5:00 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has tallied 5.7 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA in this category over this stretch of games.
RJ Barrett has averaged 33.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
RJ Barrett will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game at home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The 6th-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Raptors.
The Wizards have played at the 8th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to reduce plays for the Raptors.

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