RJ Barrett Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2025

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 27, 2025

Updated Jan 28, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+112/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -142 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has tallied a terrific 5.8 assists per game this year, significantly higher than his 3.3 assists per game last year.
RJ Barrett has averaged 33.3 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Raptors will likely get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
The Raptors have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
RJ Barrett will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally boosts player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.

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