RJ Barrett Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2025

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic · Jan 21, 2025

Updated Jan 22, 2025 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+102/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has averaged 6.0 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric recently.
RJ Barrett has tallied 33.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The 8th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Raptors.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 7th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 12.1 offensive boards per game this year.
RJ Barrett stands to get a boost in productivity across the board considering having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, RJ Barrett rates in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.4 fouls per game on his home court this year.
The Raptors will likely experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Magic).

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