RJ Barrett Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2024

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 12, 2024

Updated Apr 13, 2024 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has averaged 5.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
RJ Barrett has played 31.2 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The 3rd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Raptors.
The Raptors have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, 1.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
The Raptors will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from facing the slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Heat).
RJ Barrett will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player production in all stat categories.

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