RJ Barrett Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 18, 2024 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has totaled 4.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's totaled overall this year.
RJ Barrett has tallied 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
The 7th-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise produce bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
The Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from sharing the court with the slowest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Heat).

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