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RJ Barrett

RJ Barrett Assists
Player Prop - 5/8/2023

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

 
 
 
RJ Barrett Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • RJ Barrett has compiled 2.8 assists per game this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard recently.
  • RJ Barrett has played 32.5 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
  • The New York Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • RJ Barrett has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's been called for overall this season.
  • The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Knicks.
  • RJ Barrett will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually decreases stat production across the board.

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