RJ Barrett Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/8/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Assists

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · May 8, 2023

Updated May 8, 2023 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has compiled 2.8 assists per game this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard recently.
RJ Barrett has played 32.5 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The New York Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's been called for overall this season.
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Knicks.
RJ Barrett will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually decreases stat production across the board.

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