RJ Barrett Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/6/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Assists

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · May 6, 2023

Updated May 5, 2023 8:06 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has averaged 3.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
RJ Barrett has been on the court for 32.7 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Knicks.
RJ Barrett will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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