RJ Barrett Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Mar 31, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+116/-142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +126 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has compiled 2.7 assists per game this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA by this standard over this stretch.
RJ Barrett has been on the court for 32.7 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from home.
The Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Knicks.
RJ Barrett will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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