RJ Barrett Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs New York Knicks · Mar 9, 2023

Updated Mar 10, 2023 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +122 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has totaled 3.9 assists per game over the last 15 games while playing on the road, 0.9 more than he's totaled in all games this year on the road.
RJ Barrett has averaged 33.4 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Kings have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which ought to increase plays for the Knicks.
The New York Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 0.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league without the home court advantage this year.
The Kings have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
RJ Barrett will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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