RJ Barrett Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Assists

Brooklyn Nets vs New York Knicks · Jan 28, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has averaged 2.8 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 76th percentile.
RJ Barrett has played 32.9 minutes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The New York Knicks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (which can also provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Nets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Knicks have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 20 games on their home court, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Nets.
RJ Barrett will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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