Reggie Bullock Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2023

NBA · Player Props

Reggie Bullock

G-F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Reggie Bullock Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Reggie Bullock has successfully made 3.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.9 more than he's converted from three over the course of the year without the home court advantage.
Reggie Bullock has tallied 28.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 75th percentile.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing away from home in terms of three-point attempts.
This matchup is a good one for 3-pointers; opposing teams have tallied the 3rd-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (11.4).
The Jazz have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to increased possessions for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Reggie Bullock has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA away from home this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Jazz have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Reggie Bullock has sunk just 62.0% of his free throw attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 85.4 mark last season.