Reed Sheppard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2026

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Reed Sheppard

NBA · Player Props

Reed Sheppard

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 13, 2026

Updated Mar 14, 2026 12:04 AM EST

Analysis

Reed Sheppard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-186/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -9900 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -186.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Reed Sheppard has scored 19.4 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 6.1 higher than he's scored over the course of the season at home.
This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.1 three attempts per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
The Rockets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In regard to scoring, the Houston Rockets's feeble 109.6 points per game as the home team places 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Rockets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year.
Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.2 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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