Reed Sheppard Points - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2025

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Reed Sheppard

NBA · Player Props

Reed Sheppard

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets · Nov 26, 2025

Updated Nov 27, 2025 3:02 AM EST

Analysis

Reed Sheppard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+104/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 38.4% on threes (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, designating this as a positive matchup.
The Rockets are expected to get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 16.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 7.2 free throws per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Warriors, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The Rockets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.

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