Reed Sheppard Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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Reed Sheppard

NBA · Player Props

Reed Sheppard

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Reed Sheppard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Reed Sheppard has successfully made 2.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a favorable one for field goal attempts; when the Los Angeles Lakers have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 7th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (15.6).
The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Lakers may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 4.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (8th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Reed Sheppard has sunk 35.2% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking in the 10th percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Reed Sheppard rates in the 24th percentile for playing time, averaging a lowly 12.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.
When it comes to three-pointers, the Rockets's lackluster 12.3 sunk threes per game as the visting team comes in as the 8th-weakest in the league this year.
The 9th-slowest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Rockets.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the Rockets.

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