Quentin Grimes Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Quentin Grimes

NBA · Player Props

Quentin Grimes

G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 25, 2023 4:59 PM EST

Analysis

Quentin Grimes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+109/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Bucks is a hard one for three-point attempts; their opposition has totaled the 4th-fewest three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 10 games (31.1).
The New York Knicks have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Knicks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New York Knicks rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Quentin Grimes will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 43.3% rate, Quentin Grimes's scoring efficiency has declined this year to 34.7%.
Quentin Grimes has been on the court for a measly 21.5 minutes per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 29.5 minutes per game last season.
In regard to shooting, the New York Knicks's feeble 46.3% field goal rate with the home court advantage ranks 7th-worst in the league this year.
The Bucks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Quentin Grimes has attempted a measly 0.2 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 1.4 mark last season.

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