Quentin Grimes Points - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2023

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Quentin Grimes

NBA · Player Props

Quentin Grimes

G · New York Knicks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs New York Knicks · Nov 3, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 11:38 PM EST

Analysis

Quentin Grimes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Quentin Grimes slots into the 87th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc without the home court advantage, averaging 5.5 per game since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 19.8 points per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, making this a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.
The Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.5 free throws per game since the start of last season (24th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Quentin Grimes has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Knicks check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, their opposition has averaged 13.2 threes per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, marking this as a favorable matchup.
The 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the New York Knicks.
Quentin Grimes should suffer a reduction in efficiency for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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