Quentin Grimes Points - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2023

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Quentin Grimes

NBA · Player Props

Quentin Grimes

G · New York Knicks

Points

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · May 12, 2023

Updated May 12, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Quentin Grimes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Quentin Grimes has successfully made 2.9 threes per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year while on the road.
Quentin Grimes has played 29.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 76th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.9).
The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Quentin Grimes has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit more than his 1.6 fouls per game last season.
The New York Knicks rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The New York Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Knicks.
The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the league).

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