Quentin Grimes Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2023

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Quentin Grimes

NBA · Player Props

Quentin Grimes

G · New York Knicks

Points

Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks · Mar 23, 2023

Updated Mar 23, 2023 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

Quentin Grimes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Quentin Grimes has sunk 56.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 12.5% higher than he's converted overall this season.
Quentin Grimes has made 57.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 21.9% higher than he's converted from three in all games this year.
Quentin Grimes has tallied an impressive 28.5 minutes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 17.0 minutes per game last season.
The Magic have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Knicks.
The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Quentin Grimes has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The matchup vs. the Magic is a tough one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting SGs have put up the 14th-lowest three rate in the league this year (29.1%).
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road.
The matchup vs. the Magic may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games (12th-least in the NBA).
Quentin Grimes will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases stat production for all stats.

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