Quentin Grimes Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Quentin Grimes

G · New York Knicks

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs New York Knicks · Mar 12, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 10:41 PM EST

Analysis

Quentin Grimes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Quentin Grimes has successfully made 2.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's sunk over the course of the season while on the road.
Quentin Grimes has averaged 21.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games when playing on the road, 5.8 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road.
The Lakers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Knicks.
The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Lakers may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.1 free throws per game over the last 5 games (22nd-most in the league).

Favors Under

Quentin Grimes has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this year.
The New York Knicks have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Lakers is a hard one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 11th-least baskets per game in the NBA this year (5.2).
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
Playing at home, the Lakers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).