Quentin Grimes Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/8/2023

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Quentin Grimes

NBA · Player Props

Quentin Grimes

G · New York Knicks

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · May 8, 2023

Updated May 8, 2023 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

Quentin Grimes Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+126/-164).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Quentin Grimes has converted 3.1 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year.
Quentin Grimes has averaged 28.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 75th percentile.
The matchup against the Heat is a strong one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.9).
The New York Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Quentin Grimes has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, significantly more than his 1.6 fouls per game last year.
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Knicks.
Quentin Grimes will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually reduces stat production for all stats.

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