Quentin Grimes Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Quentin Grimes

NBA · Player Props

Quentin Grimes

G · New York Knicks

Assists

New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 25, 2023 3:52 PM EST

Analysis

Quentin Grimes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Quentin Grimes has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 20th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.
The New York Knicks have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Knicks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New York Knicks rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Quentin Grimes will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Quentin Grimes has been on the court for a measly 21.5 minutes per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 29.5 minutes per game last season.
The Bucks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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