Quentin Grimes Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2023

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Quentin Grimes

NBA · Player Props

Quentin Grimes

G · New York Knicks

Assists

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · Mar 22, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Quentin Grimes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+182/-244).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -238 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -244.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Quentin Grimes has totaled a whopping 1.9 assists per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.0 assists per game last season.
Quentin Grimes has been on the court for a terrific 28.5 minutes per game this year, a big improvement over his 17.0 minutes per game last year.
The New York Knicks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Quentin Grimes has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (82nd percentile).
The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court.
The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which ought to reduce plays for the Knicks.
Quentin Grimes will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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