Precious Achiuwa Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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Precious Achiuwa

NBA · Player Props

Precious Achiuwa

F · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Precious Achiuwa Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Precious Achiuwa has posted 1.8 offensive rebounds per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 90th percentile.
Precious Achiuwa has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, -0.8 lower than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should increase possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While at home, the Celtics have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Precious Achiuwa will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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