Precious Achiuwa Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Precious Achiuwa

F · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 8, 2024

Updated Feb 9, 2024 12:44 AM UTC

Analysis

Precious Achiuwa Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Precious Achiuwa has sunk 55.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 7.2% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
Precious Achiuwa has tallied 39.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 20.2 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; opposing starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which ought to increase plays for the Knicks.
The Knicks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Precious Achiuwa has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's been called for in all games this season.
The New York Knicks rank as the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the league playing at home this year.
The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA while playing at home this year.
This year, opposing squads have grabbed 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks (continuing possessions that can generate extra opportunities for offense).
The matchup against Dallas may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.7 free throws per game over the last 19 games when the Dallas Mavericks are on the road (13th-least in the league).