Precious Achiuwa Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

NBA · Player Props

Precious Achiuwa

F · New York Knicks

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs New York Knicks · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 12:08 AM UTC

Analysis

Precious Achiuwa Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Precious Achiuwa has converted 79.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 30.5% higher than he's sunk in all games this year while on the road.
Precious Achiuwa has been on the court for 21.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have tallied 8.7 baskets per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Hornets, marking this as a good matchup.
The Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Hornets have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Knicks have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The New York Knicks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-slowest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Hornets).
Out of all players in the league, Precious Achiuwa places in the 11th percentile for free-throw prowess with a a lackluster 59.2% rate this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
Precious Achiuwa will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers stat production in all facets of the game.