Precious Achiuwa Points - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2023

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Precious Achiuwa

NBA · Player Props

Precious Achiuwa

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 22, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 12:10 AM UTC

Analysis

Precious Achiuwa Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Over the last 5 games, the other team has notched 101.2 points per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers, making this a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games on their home court, which should lead to more opportunities for the Raptors.
The Raptors check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing teams have attempted a lowly 20.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (7th-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Precious Achiuwa has sunk 34.6% of his shot attempts from the field while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 11th percentile among all players in the league.
The Raptors have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors.
While at home, the Philadelphia 76ers have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
In contrast to last year's 68.5% rate, Precious Achiuwa's foul-shot prowess has declined this year to 58.9%.

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