Precious Achiuwa Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Precious Achiuwa

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 10, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 3:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Precious Achiuwa Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-109/-119).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Precious Achiuwa has sunk 5.1 buckets per game over the last 15 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season on the road.
This matchup is a tough one for attempts from beyond the arc; their opposition have averaged the 3rd-least 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 10 games when the Lakers are on their home court (30.2).
The Lakers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Precious Achiuwa has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 20.8% higher than he's made overall this season away from his home court.

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games while on the road.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Playing at home, the Lakers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a good one for getting to the free throw line; when the Lakers are on their home court, opposing clubs have attempted an enormous 23.9 free throws per game this year (4th-most in the league).
Precious Achiuwa will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decreases player production in all stat categories.