Precious Achiuwa Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Precious Achiuwa

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Precious Achiuwa Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Precious Achiuwa has made 57.0% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 11.7% more than he's converted overall this year.
Precious Achiuwa has played 30.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 8.6 higher than he's played overall this year.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to more plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
On the road, the Spurs have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Precious Achiuwa has sunk 18.2% of his 3-point attempts this year, putting him in the 10th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Precious Achiuwa has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while on their home court this year.
The matchup vs. San Antonio is a difficult one for attempts from downtown; when the Spurs are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.8).
The matchup against Jakob Poeltl is a hard one for 3-pointers; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have converted a measly 43.3% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (97th percentile).